We’re all excited to have the Public Policy Polling results today. An independent poll — especially with all these wonderful details — is political geek manna! Not that we’re geeks.
Here’s how interested parties are reacting (I’ll update this as I get more to point to):
On the Democratic side, the poll has Artur Davis at 38% to Ron Sparks’ 28%. The Sparks campaign issued a press release embracing numbers which they say show Sparks “clearly has the momentum in the Democratic primary.” Their major take-away, as I read it, is this:
In only a matter of months, a 30-point lead for Artur Davis has shrunk to a 10-point lead.
In August, a poll released by the Davis campaign showed he had a 3-1 favorable to unfavorable rating. Now 34 percent of Democratic voters have an unfavorable view of him, while only 28 percent view him favorably.
Here’s the release (.pdf) about that Davis-commissioned poll, which was conducted in July by Anzalone-Liszt Research.
(For fun, you can go back and read the Davis-commissioned A-L poll from January, 2009, which can be found here. It pitted Davis up against Kay Ivey, Bradley Byrne and Jack Hawkins.)
On the Republican side, Bradley Byrne’s campaign is so far kind of letting the numbers speak for themselves:
The results of the second independent statewide poll were released today and show Bradley in the lead!
1. Bradley Byrne – 27%
2. Roy Moore – 23%
3. Robert Bentley – 10%
4. Kay Ivey – 10%
5. Tim James – 9%
6. Bill Johnson – 1%
7. James Potts – 0%
Public Policy Polling (PPP) just released a survey of Alabama voters showing an 84% approval rating for Barack Obama along with 80% approval for Obama-Care. On its face, this so-called survey of Alabama voters is without any basis in fact.
The problem is that the 80% approval for Obama’s healthcare reform package was only the result of asking likely Democratic primary voters. To be fair, on my first read of the full poll results I made the same mistake, and others made the same mistake as I watched the poll news roll out on Twitter this afternoon. But we figured it out.
PPP has responded in strong terms to Tim James’s accusation of a “flawed” poll but also gave us this nugget:
The general election numbers we’ll be releasing tomorrow show that Byrne is easily the most formidable Republican candidate for the general election.
Oooo! Can’t wait.