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Jay Love Out of AL-02 Race. Who’s In? Posted by Danny, on June 24th, 2009, at 12:31 pm
Bobby Bright’s narrow victory last year marked the first time a Democrat won the seat since George Grant last won re-election in 1962. 30 comments to Jay Love Out of AL-02 Race. Who’s In? |
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Now that Jay Love, the GOP nominee for CD-2 in 2008, has 
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I have said on here before that I don’t believe Roby is the best person to run. I think a business person from the Wiregrass that is well known and obviously well liked is the best shot. Who that may be, I don’t know. There are 3 or 4 folks in the mix to either run for Congress or run for State Senate (against Smith should she run again).
If Bright is not defeated in 2010, he will likely be in office a long time. The 2010 election represents the best shot to defeat him as the majority party (democrats) usually do not do well in mid term elections. Also, the growing of government, of spending, more bailouts, government takeovers, nationalized health care, etc. that Obama supports may come back to bite Bright whether he votes with the President or not. Also, the large minority surge in voters that occurred due to having Obama on the ticket in 2008, will not be there again for Bright (in such large numbers). Bright benefited from that before, especially in Montgomery County. But this time, Obama will not be on the ticket to turn out so many straight ticket democrat votes. It will also be interesting to see how active Bright is in the Governor’s race. His affection for Artur Davis is no secret. How public Bright will be on that front will be interesting.
well 2010… if flowers should be needled into a run against smith i will be forced to fight my old schoolmate and friend tooth and nail….be prepared…
I think you hit the nail on the head. Well reasoned comment 2010.
As the Republican’s learned (or should have learned) last November, you can’t translate the district’s dislike for liberal democrats like Pelosi and Obama into a winning issue against Bright.
Whichever candidate can raise the most cash will win. Bright’s not doing to hot so far, his post election finance director has thrown in the towel and the search for another fundraiser have been fruitless.
they learned nothing last year, cash…they seem incapable of learning because they think they know everything already…
Thus far Bright is raising PAC money, like most members of congress, but he is lacking in contributions from individuals. I wonder why…
I do agree with post 4 that the GOP cannot say “don’t vote for bright, he supports speaker pelosi” That will not work. Instead, tell us what you believe in, what you stand for, what you will do, etc. It is fine to talk about what the dems have done though….just be sure to say what you will do differently. Give voters a reason to vote for you and not just because “the other guy is an evil democrat…blah blah blah” Bright can for sure be beat….but it has to be the right person. I just don’t see Roby as that.
As for Flowers, (the comment by CC Dollar) I think you can count on him running against your no convictions hero, senator harri smith. He can self finance if need be, but i assure you he can also raise plenty of money from Dothan folks looking to get her out of office.
That also brings up the point of money in the Congressional race….someone that can self finance a little…that will help a lot. The ones I have heard mentioned can all self finance.
Bright is lucky Jack Hawkins is not interested….he could beat Bright like a drum.
I agree with 2010. Hawkins would easily beat Bright. It will be interesting to see who enters the race from the Wiregrass.
I think Martha Roby is going to be a strong contender. She is intelligent and very much a go getter. My understanding is that she a strong Anti-Tax record from opposing Bright while he was Mayor. I met her about 2 weeks ago at the ALGOP 2nd District Meeting and came away EXTREMELY impressed with her. I also hear she is beating the bushes to drum up support and is making quite an impression. She swayed me, Go Martha Go!
If Martha wants to really make a go at it, I suggest she spend a lot of time in the Wiregrass convincing folks that she is right for the nomination….the sooner she gets down here the better for her. Otherwise, she will get a primary opponent from here and that will not be helpful. The GOP needs to not “eat their young” in the primary this time. Anyone has the right to run but we need to be smarter this time…
On the http://www.fec.gov site it shows candidates for the U.S. House in Alabama, for 2010, and the name Robert E. John, Jr. appears (as does Bright and Roby). It does not show financial activity but obviously some paperwork has been filed with the FEC (unless this is in error). Has anyone ever heard of a Robert E. John, Jr. that may be running for Alabama, District 2? I have not.
so who would be a viable contender against bright … suggestions ….
jack hawkins – troy – chancellor of troy univ. system (doubtful he wants to run for congress though)
jimmy rane – abbeville – owner of great southern wood and on the auburn board of trustees (had thoughts of running for governor but does congress interest him?)
jeff coleman – dothan – owner of COVAN moving and member of alabama commission on higher education. (smart, well spoken, young and attractive candidate, well connected in the wiregrass)
craig schmidtke – dothan – physician – ran in 08 in the GOP primary. (smart guy – did better than expected in 08 against harri anne smith – could do better with the right campaign team which he lacked the first time – could run for state senate instead???)
patricia barnes – andalusia – founder of sister schubert company. (may or may not have an interest in elected office – is mentioned by some for the u.s. house as well as for seth hammett’s seat)
*everyone of these candidates, minus jack hawkins, can self finance with ease. whether or not they are willing is another story. in terms of hawkins, he would not need to self finance as he could raise big money easily*
Martha Roby is a very viable candidate against Bright. She has a record of opposing him on tax increases and she is a Conservative with deep roots. She is smart, attractive, and very energetic. I can tell you this, there is NO ONE that will outwork Martha Roby.
One wonders if “Pike Co Voter” and “MGM Voter”, who both parrot the same flimsy Roby talking points, are the same person…
It will be interesting to see what kind of money she’s raised so far. With her father a federal judge, and her husband a hotshot lawyer-lobbyist, one would think there would be plenty of low-hanging fruit for her to put together a good fundraising haul.
The fact remains that any candidate with an (R) next to their name has a better than even chance to beat Congressman Bright.
Bright is growing stronger by the day. The guy has not quit campaigning and is really winning people over…It is going to take a lot more than low voter turn out because of mid term to defeat him.
It’s not just low turnout, LD, it is a feeling of “let’s throw the bums out” in mid term elections. In this case, the bums will be the majority party…dems. If Obama and the dem leadership keep spending like there is no tomorrow, continue with plans on “nationalized” health care, and now I hear an immigration bill that includes amnesty, that will be the problem for Bright. Regardless of how Bright votes on the measures, it will be an issue. As Wamp said, that “D” by Bright’s name (and an “R” by the other) is going to be an issue for him….and he knows it. No Obama on the ticket this time to turn out voters that will help him over come it.
Whoever the Republican is, they need to take a stand and share their views on these very important issues (i.e. how they would vote, the plan they have….)
I a sure Bright will pick up the pace in terms of individuals giving to his campaign but as it stands now, on his latest report, it is as expected…a bunch of trail lawyers.
I assure you I am not MGMvoter. If I was from that city I definitely would not want it to be known. As for the same points, maybe we both have seen and heard the same things about her. Besides we both said she is a go-getter and that she has a record of being anti-tax, heaven forbid that we both mention a factor that many voters will care about (anti-tax/hard worker) and that many supporters/donors will care about (go-getter)
I am just waiting for the calls to begin that because I support Martha Roby on this site that I must be a staffer. I am sorry that when I posted I used an actual reason for supporting her as opposed to mentioning that “she is hott” or some other fact that does not matter in the election.
Crazy Chester I see where the Crazy part comes from. Please take off your tinfoil hat and stop with the conspiracy theories.
Also Danny calls out people when they use multiple names, he hasn’t done that for me.
I don’t want to miss the chance to say that I agree entirely with 2010 on this one.
I think the biggest problem for Republicans last time was the failure to run a good wiregrass candidate.
Smith would have been a loser. But they need someone from the wiregrass.
Frankly, I think most people in the Montgomery area will simply vote Republican and Democrat as they usally do and the real swing vote is in Wiregrass.
Bright have the Wiregrass connection puts him over the top vs. Montgomery candidate.
But a good Wiregrass candidate beats him.
smith was a loser, still is a “loser” and thankfully, the way it looks, she will no longer be in office after the next election.
A Wiregrass candidate has the best shot but it does indeed have to be a quality candidate.
Smith would have beaten Bright– if she had run the type of campaign that could have beaten Love in the first place.
I don’t have a dog in this fight, although I’d like to see Bright get defeated while he is still a newbie instead of being an intrenched incumbent, but what’s stopping Martha Roby from going to the powers that be in Dothan/Wiregrass for their blessing and support. Martha Roby – if you read this blog – DO IT – sooner rather than later!
Wamp, Smith is not the brightest bulb nor is she a hard worker / campaigner. Both of those things sunk her….as they should.
2010 – have you ever met the winner in that race? This was strictly a race where there was never a good choice.
Hopefully a real leader emerges this year. Doubtful.
Got a robo call last night from Congressman Bright. We didnt pick the phone up but answering machine picked up long enough to hear him say…. “Hello, this is Congressman Bobby Bright” Click. Anyway, he is not wasting anytime. And I am not sure why he was calling my house, we (my wife and I) have never voted in a Dem primary in our life.
26,
I got the same call. Said he would call again the next night (tonight) so that you could participate in a telephonic town hall meeting.
Bright has been doing these “virtual” town hall meetings since he was elected. Give him credit, he has been working hard because he knows he is vulnerable. I expect he will keep up the pace. If he is to be defeated, 2010 is the year. Otherwise, he may be there a while.
Stand up for Bama and/or Mullet – Did it make you want to vote for him?
Danny, you say George Grant was the last Democrat in the 2nd Congressional District in 1962. Not quite right. The 2nd was largely made of the old 3rd represented by Andrews, a Democrat, until 1973.