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Sue Bell Cobb: Will She or Won’t She? Posted by Danny, on May 4th, 2009, at 12:46 pmThose close to Sue Bell Cobb suggest to the Parlor that we shouldn’t expect a formal announcement on the Chief Justice’s intentions about running for the Democratic nomination for Governor until June.
Related Articles: 17 comments to Sue Bell Cobb: Will She or Won’t She? |
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This does not surprise me. Recent polling shows that longtime Dem power brokers in the party should not be concerned about Davis’s downballot effect. Obama’s favorability is at 48%, and Davis apparently does not have the downticket liabilities may suspected. These numbers are likely the reason Cobb postponed her Friday announcement.
Cobb also has to overcome the sentiments that the trail lawyers must feel after having just gotten her elected as Chief Justice with two more seats on the Supreme Court coming up in 2010. Patty Smith’s seat is rumored to be an open one because she may not run for reelection, and Tom Parker’s seat could be an easy grab for the Dems. That puts 3 “official” Dems on the Court, and between Woodall, Lyons, and Murdoch, 5 votes is within grasp. My hunch is that Cobb will not run this time.
Its good that she is taking the next month to think about this and hopefully decide that she is in the best spot she can be as Chief Justice.
Michael Bolin’s seat on the Supreme Court is also up for reelection in 2010. I could see Democrats (and trial lawyers in particular) making a press for the Smith and Bolin seats, and possibly Parker’s as well (remember that many trial lawyers would rather have a social conservative than an economic conservative on the bench to have a justice more favorable to plantiff rights.) Parker could also face a primary challenger, especially depending on the battle lines that might shape up for the Gubernatorial primary.
can’t figure out WHY she’d do it…
doesn’t she make close to twice as much as the Gov?
isn’t the retirement better?
isn’t it less stress?
Purely status.
She’s cooling on it. Was close to jumping in last week, but moving the other direction now and becoming less likely by the day.
Point taken on Parker, WCS.
Trial lawyers could care less about her 1 vote on the Supreme Court. That is the most ridiculous rumor out there.
Conservative Dem, I heard over 3 weeks ago that she wouldn’t make a decision until mid to late summer. So, I don’t see her as having cooled on anything.
Trial Lawyers stand a better chance of changing the Supreme Court if there is a strong candidate at the top of the gubernatorial ticket. Not to say that Davis wouldn’t be strong but Cobb running for Governor could help the Trial Lawyers in 2010 on the court. They would gladly trade 1 Chief Justice for 2 Justices.
Andy nailed it. There is no new news here.
she will not run – she just loves her name floated for it.
Cobb was set to go last Friday and pulled back. No#1 nailed this–according to more than a few, some AEA polling has Cobb way behind Davis with Davis showing very well in the general. By the way trial lawyers do not want her in, whether you think their logic is good or not, Beasley, Ginger Avery and some others are leaning very hard on her to stay put.
I will bet on one other factor cooling Cobb’s heels. The Sessions for governor rumors are real. Cobb wants no part of Sessions.
I imagine del is another of the Republicans that are trying to talk Cobb out of running.
Also, if Cobb gives her slot on the court that spot is up in the 2010 election and will be running against the dead weight person that Riley appoints. So, if the trial lawyers want the court they can get someone else elected.
Andy, Del is far from “another Republican … trying to talk Cobb out of running.” And I hope you don’t put me in that category too. Cobb will make a great Gov. one day. There are forces at work this cycle that she cannot control.
Maybe you should call up Beasley, Avery, and others and convince them of your logic for stacking the Court with Cobb at the top of the ticket. Frankly, I’d be surprised if the Dems want to fight on yet another front with all the opportunities they have in 2010, especially considering the tightening of resources in this economy.
Obama was the most inspirational candidate the Dems could ever imagine, and he was crushed in Alabama, despite record black turnout. So the question is, what has changed? Is Artur Davis more inspirational? Is his voting record less liberal than Obama’s? Does he have more money? A better message? A weaker opponent than John McCain?
I think he sounds like a smart guy. And I’d like to believe Alabama has made progress. But the people of this state don’t vote for smart. And we haven’t made that much progress since last November.
The more I think about the governor’s race, the more I’m convinced that the Democrats are just blind to reality. What did Mark Twain say about the party?
Pray tell, what did Mark Twain say about the Democratic party?
Sorry. It was Will Rogers: “I belong to know organized party. I’m a democrat.”
Sue Bell Cobb, may want to cleanup the mess that her husband caused, while building there new home in Orange Beach Al. Before running for governor. This could cause her problems.