According to this memo posted at Politico.com, Alabama Democratic Congressmen Bobby Bright and Parker Griffith are among 41 Congressmen in the Democratic Party’s Frontline program for vulnerable incumbents. (I was sent the link, but I haven’t found any post about it at Politico.com.)



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griffith will likely have it easy….bright not so much.
The key on Bright is who the Republicans run.
Bright would love to face Love again.
When people in the Wiregrass actually meet Bobby Bright, they understand quickly why people in Montgomery called him “Not So Bright.”
bright is working hard to be seen in the wiregrass thus far. he knows if a strong candidate does come after him, they will likely originate from the wiregrass – so he is trying to prevent that. whether or not that happens, i don’t know. he is still a democrat sitting in a republican district – plain and simple. he won on the coat tails of obama and a surge in minority straight ticket democrat voters. bright realizes that and knows a strong GOPer is trouble for him. i do agree that if jay love runs again, bright will likely be relieved and welcome the challenge.
we missed our opportunity on that race …
Both Congressmen are doing good work, and everyone knew that the race in 2010 would be a challenge in both seats. Candidate recruitment will be a key issue for Republicans in both seats. Likewise, turnout for 2010 will also be important. I agree with the assessment that Griffith will hold serve, but Bright will have a tight race.
Bright’s other issue (if he wins reelection) will be the results of the other 2010 races and their impact on redistricting. Bright could benefit from Democrats winning both the governorship and the legislature, thereby maintaining if not strengthening the district for him when they look at redistricting. Now if the Republicans end up taking over the legislature and holding the Governor’s office, it is plausible that they might move all of Montgomery to District 3, forcing Bright to run in another district (this would especially be true if Josh Segall won the AL-3 race in 2010).
Bright won on the back of Obama?
Obama was smashed in that district.
Bright will be better off without it being a Presidential election.
However, he won thanks to Love being so pathetic.
He might not be so lucky again or will he?
post 7 – do you not think thet the surge in minority voters that voted straight ticket democrat did not put bright over the top? you need to re think that fact. just look at what happened in Montgomery county if you don’t believe me. bright was thrilled obama was the nominee and not hillary….and that is why…. a huge minority turnout of straight ticket dems.
An election without Obama driving such votes is not good for Bright. HOWEVER, is Davis is the nominee for Governor, it may have a similar effect and help Bright in 2010. That is why bright hopes will all his might that Artur is the nominee.
The GOP has a great shot to defeat Bright with the right candidate. As you noted, if Love runs again, I think Bright will welcome that. Thus, another GOPer is best. Who that will be??? I don’t know.
Any Republican who thinks Bright is an easy target will be sadly mistaken. He has spent every week-end (or close to it) in the District going from town to town where people have not seen their congressman in years. They have seen his votes and are proud of him-and we tell him. I did not support him last time but he will have my help next time. He is an indpendent vote and seems to want to do good for the District. Republicans are lining up behind him and will not walk away as long as he stands strong as he has so far.
I find it disgusting how much emphasis is put on party labels. America would be much better off if we all voted for the person and not the party.
The buzz in Montgomery is that City Council Woman Martha Roby will challenge Bright. She is being strongly courted by the National Republican Party.
Bright is doing everything he can to show he is actually a Republican. Oh – minus voting for Pelosi as speaker and taking about 1 million in cash from the DNC…
Bright is doomed. Martha Roby had to deal with him when she was on the City Council and Bright is afraid of her. She can raise money and will expose Bright and as dim bulb.
i don’t know a lot about her – but more power to her…
Martha what a past she has – just ask around. She is a party girl who plays way too much. She will NEVER be taken serious in the wiregrass. She has a baby just 2 months old plus another one. She will have to choose between serving her district (coming home regularly like she should) and being a real part of her childrens’ life A congressman’s life is travel back and forth constantly and being throughout the district when home. No time for young kids. She needs to get her priorities straight. There are a lot of jobs in politics for mothers of young ones, but not Congress. If that is all the party can find , it says the field against Bright is weak.
wow post 15. anyone with young kids should not be in congress, huh? i guess obama should not be president since he has two school age kids…..
i do, however, agree that a candidate so tied to Mgm, such as Roby, will have trouble in the wiregrass. I think you can expect the wiregrass to be in the search of a strong candidate against bright. Bright did not win the wiergrass the last time and he will not win it in 2010 if there is a strong candidate from that area. Who it may be…I don’t know.
If Jack Hawkins decided to get in the race – Bright would be toast. But, luckily for Bright, I don’t see that happening.
we missed the boat on this election
Rumors in North Alabama are that the party insider’s choices for AL-5 in 2010 are Madison County Commisioner Mo Brooks and Businessman Lester Phillip.
IMO, both of these candidates are relatively weak but Phillip is by far the most interesting. He is the son of immigrants from Trinidad, a graduate from the US Naval Academy, former Naval Officer and pilot, Entrepreneur and Business owner. He was recently appointed the Director of Minority Outreach by Chairman Hubbard himself. This shows that he probably will have the support of the party establishment. Thoughts?
just keep wayne parker away from this race please!
Wayne Parker is finished, many local leaders encouraged him to run for the open SD-7 seat and he flatly turned them down. He and his family do not want the scrutiny and stress of another race. I think he will stay in the business sector for now and probably eventually go back into lobbying.
The Martha Roby rumor is interesting. A lot of people thought she would be a strong candidate for mayor but the birth of her child kept her out. As for the impact from Davis being the nominee, Davis could win and CD2 would likely still be his second worst district, behind CD6. Obama was a net liability for Bright and it is hard to see how even a viable Davis would not be the same.
post 21 – you are flat out wrong. obama was not a liability for bright. obama drove out a huge minority surge – and they voted straight ticket democrat. do you really think jeff sessions, for example, would have lost montgomery county by 10 points unless obama was on the ballot to turn out votes? Likewise, bright and every other democrat got a massive surge in votes in montgomery county. not to mention other counties that have a high minority make up. That surge was not outweighed by any negative effects in other counties that Obama may have caused for bright. bright benefited in large part from obama… it’s simple.
Griffith is safe. He is voting as a Republican anyway so his stance will be hard to attack.
He is in a good position b/c the Dems won’t rattle the cage to find a more liberal candidate either b/c that’s not electable in North Ala.
Bright will win again. I have been proud. I was not sure at first, but he really has been standing up for what he believes. So far, he has not let the Democratic party influence his decisions. He does not seem to care who he pleases and who he upsets as long as he is doing whats best for District 2.