Looking at AL-02
The Southern Political Report this week calls the AL-02 race between Republican Jay Love and Democrat Bobby Bright a toss-up, but Roll Call has an election contest that identifies Jay Love as a 6 point favorite.
Love has picked up support from former GOP presidential candidates Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, and Mitt Romney. Huckabee and Thompson endorsed Love; Romney is in Dothan today campaigning with Love.
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Interesting. I did note that “Roll Call” doesn’t have a poll - this is more of a “betting line” predicting a 6-point spread. I think Bright is the best “bet” on that line. Doesn’t mean he will win, but I am guessing this will be closer than 6.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 3:03 pm
A 53-47 win for Jay Love sounds about right.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 3:15 pm
I think it could be 53-47 but likely closer. I do not think either candidate wins by more than 6 at most. I think if Bright wins it’ll be no more than 52-48; Love MIGHT have a slightly larger possible margin.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 3:40 pm
Love has the momentum. Bright has been losing a lot of ground as shown by his own polling.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 3:43 pm
#4 nice spin. Keep on posting that. That’s why the desperate dishonest ad from Jay came out - he’s so confident. Confident candidates run positive ads late . . .which Bright is the only one doing . . . .
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 3:58 pm
No, stupid candidates run positive ads late.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:12 pm
Nice guys finish last, huh #6? I would guess Jay Love lives by that motto.
I think runing positive ads bespeaks confidence. I think running a highly risky, certainly dishonest ad thgat will probably destroy any chance of a major newspaper endorsement does not show confidence. Call me crazy.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:27 pm
Newspaper endorsements vs. tv ads. I’ll take the tv ads. Bright is running plenty of negative ads per his girlfriend Nancy and the $1M commitment she made to him that he loves to brag about.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:41 pm
really, 5, i wouldn’t be satisfied with a 10 point lead either, and would keep hammering - especially the way the dems are positioning themselves and trying to register every dead person and felon that they can, then purchasing votes from the live ones for crack…you need as big of a lead as you can get. so don’t read anything in to the fact that jay is still blowing bobby up over his bad record and his affiliation with barack H. obama.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:50 pm
Yeah - guys with 10 point leads often run ads that media may (will) see as blatantly dishonest and will do “truth” storiesa about. Keep ‘em coming - you are cracking me up here.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:53 pm
everyone knows the media is in the tank for obama, so no one in alabama cares about the media’s “truth” shenanigans. non starter, try again bobby.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 4:56 pm
Isn’t Romney that liberal “Rockefeller Republican” former Governor of liberal Mass. who is or was pro-abortion and out sourced a lot of jobs to make a buck!!!! Liberal Mitt is not what Dothan wants to hear, but I bet the only the people of Dothan will hear is GOP presidential candidate, McCain/Palin, San Francisco Liberals, and Obama/Bright all without even mentioning that Romney was or is one of the most liberal Republicans to date!!! Flip-flop Mitt is just Jay trying to keep from pointing out his own stance. Jay is a coattail riding bastard! I can’t wait for 35% African-American turnout!!
Here is some info about Mitt on abortion. Really, this for a guy who says in one of his ads, “I’m supporting pro-lifers Sarah Palin and John McCain.” Maybe Mitt will buy Jay some a pair of flip flops down in Dothan today!
http://www.ontheissues.org/Mitt_Romney.htm#Abortion
And it gets better he supports gay marriage, too! Too liberal for Dothan and the Wiregrass, too liberal for district 2!
“Since same-sex marriage became legal in May 2004, Governor Mitt Romney has approved scores of such requests from gay and lesbian couples…Romney approved at least 189 requests from same-sex couples in 2005.”
http://www.boston.com/news/local/articles/2006/01/02/some_see_conflict_for_romney_on_gay_marriage/
Comment by GOP a crumbling party — October 23, 2008 @ 5:18 pm
this new round of ads may well make the difference in this race….sorry fellow republicans but love blew it this time….
Comment by CC Dollar — October 23, 2008 @ 5:25 pm
POst 12 - save your obama bright loving rants - i have already seen that on here once.
I think 5 - 6 points in Love’s favor is accurate. However, it is all about turnout. Whoever does better at that, will win.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 5:29 pm
Everybody runs feel good ads at the very end. They are supposed to make you forget all of the nasty ads the candidates ran.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 5:40 pm
NEWSFLASH - NEW POLL HAS BRIGHT UP 7 POINTS!!!
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 6:18 pm
“Jay Love” is definitely a retard and it shows. He is all talk and no substance! By now people in Alabama should know who this slease is due to his constant lies and sleazy sneaky bashing ads against Bright. This is nothing but total desperation on Loves part and will certainly be his demise come Nov. 4.
Comment by anomynous — October 23, 2008 @ 6:22 pm
OH, my , where’s the voice of “no mean spirit posting” for this forum? Did D go to bed early? Might as well give it up, Gilley, Joe X, Day Trader, Fitzgerald, Gunny, Townshend, multiple anonymous. You’ve got lots of millions of dollars you’ve got to figure out how to pay. It’s a shame you can’t move on with your life. Maybe, it’s “roid” rage. Thought your deed had changed hands. Deeds don’t change hands until it’s paid for. No, don’t tell me. Could someone from YOUR camp be lying?
Comment by anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 6:30 pm
I like how this site noted that Love has been endorsed by all the Republican Presidential candidates (all the losers that is). It is funny that the site would note it as being relevant. Do we think that they are going to get swing voters for Love? I dont.
Anyway, since everyone else is predicting… I say Bright wins by 1%. 50.5 to 49.5
Comment by Educated at the Lyceum — October 23, 2008 @ 7:16 pm
Love just got called out on the top story of WSFA for twisting facts. Just another of many times Love has been accused of being a liar.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 7:25 pm
they will get more voters than harri anne smith and barack obama, bright’s big endorsements of the month.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 7:30 pm
WSFA has not run such a story. get off it buddy.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 7:47 pm
Bright has last his momentum in the polls. He peaked at the wrong time. Buying endorsements doesn’t help matters for him in Dothan either.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 7:49 pm
#22. You have to at least watch the news to be able to post on here.
Love is toast and Bright’s peak has just begun.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 8:00 pm
WSFA ran a story…I saw it. It does not call out Love out or say he lied etc. Give me a freakin’ break. Typical for Bright supporters. Go buy another endorse and just be quite.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 9:05 pm
New poll released by DCCC has Bright up 75-25. Oh yeah the sample was 4 and they were all members of the Bright family.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 9:34 pm
I wish that someone had asked Mitt Romney if he was wearing his special sacred underwear today.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g4-BL7K8gBY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bnVOK42o4E0
I am baffled why a conservative, evangelical Christian would want to have a heretic campaign for him. The Mormon faith believes that God was once a man and that man may become God, deny that Jesus is the eternal son of God, do not believe in Biblical inerrancy, believe that Christian denominations other than the LDS are corrupt and an abomination to God, beleive in the baptism of the dead, eternal marriage, and salvation through works. Such beliefs are nothing less than heresy!
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 10:36 pm
Anony # 20–I saw the WSFA story and it did not call out Love. It reported on the flap over the ad and ran a clip of Eileen Jones asking if Bright supported Obama and Bright answering “yes.” It cut off before he got into his equivocation.
Comment by Susan Fillippeli — October 23, 2008 @ 10:40 pm
So Susan, you approve of running a portion of a quote that dramaticaly changes the statment to appear something it is not?
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 10:58 pm
Susan, you must have not watched the whole story. At the end of the story WSFA showed Bright’s complete response to the question.
Comment by Anonymous — October 23, 2008 @ 11:02 pm