Love Leads AL-02 Poll
This poll showing Jay Love up by 28 percentage points in the GOP primary run-off race for the 2nd Congressional District is not news that Smith supporters want to hear.
We have the polling memo from McLaughlin and Associates here (.doc).
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“Jay Love” is indeed way ahaed. But the “Jay Love” who leads this race bears little resemblance to the union-backed actual Jay Love. IF the Smith campaign - and this is a big IF - can expose Love’s real record, they CAN win. And spare me the talk about “Harri Anne did this” or that. The big salient point is that Smith has not LIED about anything.
A basic premise of Love’s campaign - that he is a “tax cutter” - is provably not true.
Love’s biggest message - even to the point of adding it to his signs - is how big a “Christian” he is. IF he is shown to be a liar or hypocrite - which he can be shown to be with an EFFECTIVE campaign (which Bright will have if Harri Anne doesn’t)- his numbers will fall very fast. Rememeber Jim Bakker’s TV ratings?
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 9:22 am
Comment removed.
Comment by Danny — June 10, 2008 @ 9:24 am
PUTTING things in all CAPPS DOES not MAKE them true… Do some research into Harri Ann’s record with the AEA and the Democratic party and see what you find. She will claim to believe whatever gets her the most votes. She knows very little about very little and is only hoping to appeal to ignorant voters as best I can tell from the ludicrous ideas presented in her commercials.
Comment by quitpostinganonymoslyharri — June 10, 2008 @ 9:29 am
It is true that Harri Anne’s record will be examined just like Jay Love’s so she should be careful throwing the first stone. She got AEA money and she has voted for tax hikes. The record is there. Smith is done, get my fork.
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 9:36 am
What will the post-runoff “spin” be?
If Love wins, Dax Swatek won with greased skids over a consultant most insiders in Alabama regard as a boob (Swinehart)???
If Smith wins, Mike Swinehart won a race everybody expected him to run away with over a consultant most insiders in Alabama regard as a lightweight???
Will/should due credit be given to either consultant for winning?
Can’t wait to read those memos….
Comment by Scorpius — June 10, 2008 @ 9:54 am
You miss the point. Love has lied. Has Smith?
If you set yourself up as some kind of holier-than-thou person, hypocrisy becomes a huge issue. Jay’s a hypocrite. When that hypocrisy and deceit is exposed - which Bright will do even if Smith doesn’t - it will impact Love in a big way.
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 9:55 am
By the way, if this seat falls into Demo hands, remember that Love’s former consultants are now working for Bobby Bright. Everything he is currently lying about they were personally involved with.
Comment by Matrix — June 10, 2008 @ 9:57 am
Danny the poster at number 2 is almost certainly making defamatory allusions about someone and I would imagine he is the same poster that made the “Big Gay Jack” postings earlier. He is obviously slandering the same person.
I think he should be banned from the board. Enough is enough.
Comment by Matrix — June 10, 2008 @ 10:00 am
The RUMOR is that Harri Anne has FIRED at least some of her consultants. Can ANYONE confirm if that is TRUE?
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 10:02 am
#9 I think that rumor is false. I do not know it, but I would doubt it strongly.
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 10:05 am
Well, 4 out of 5 2nd District GOP voters apparently believe if she hasn’t already fired them, then she should.
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 10:07 am
where there is smoke, there is fire …. ha, no pun intended … but check it out ..
Comment by anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 10:19 am
The poster in #7 seems to imply that Bobby Bright has retained The Matrix to help work on his campaign.
A little simple clicks of the mouse to the fec website shows that he has not payed them anything.
Might want to get your facts right.
Also - this poll has a universe of 300 people? What’s the margin on error?
And why is Love retaining a consultant from New York?
Comment by WhoisMatrix? — June 10, 2008 @ 10:37 am
Read the #$%&ing memo and you’ll see the margin of error: “The survey of 300 likely Republican primary run-off election voters has an accuracy of +/- 5.7% at a 95% confidence interval.”
McLaughlin’s website says he was the pollster for Sessions, Shelby, Aderholt, Rogers and Riley. Looks like he has a lot of clients here: http://www.mclaughlinonline.com/services/political/clients.htm
Comment by Anonymous — June 10, 2008 @ 10:50 am