Wednesday 5/7/2008 DAILY NEWS DIGEST

Alabama Politics in
Doc’s Political Parlor
& Home of Lawn Mower Repair

May 7, 2008

Filed under: Daily News Digest — G @ 6:40 am

Birmingham News - House approves proposal to exempt federal stimulus checks from state income tax.

Birmingham News - Three Alabama schools earn high rankings in new report on nation’s colleges and universities.

Birmingham News - Senate committee approves education budget.

Birmingham News - Legislature gives final approval to 2009 General Fund budget.

Mobile Press-Register - House committee approves bill to offer insurance relief to residents of Mobile and Baldwin counties.

Mobile Press-Register - Press-Register’s political editor George Talbot speculates on whether Artur Davis will run for governor in 2010.

Huntsville Times - The Huntsville Times urges senators to approve measure to end sales tax on food.

Senate Sketches - “Senate Sketches,” the weekly column of Sen. Hank Sanders (D-Selma) for his constituents.

Huntsville Times - Columnist David Prather says that Alabama legislators are “political elitists.”

Tuscaloosa News - Measure to change state’s natural gas severance tax dies on House calendar.

Tuscaloosa News - Summary of yesterday’s legislative action.

Tuscaloosa News - House approve measure to add sexual orientation to protected classes under state’s hate crimes law.

Decatur Daily - The Decatur Daily says if Volkswagen chooses Limestone County for its planned new facility, it will find a “warm welcome.”

Decatur Daily - Commentary by Sen. Bobby Singleton (D-Greensboro) on recent battle in the state senate over bingo legislation.

Times Daily - The Times Daily comments on the impact of state’s dropout rate on economic development.

Montgomery Advertiser - GOP leader acknowledges that linking property tax reappraisals to proposal to end sales tax on food will likely kill measure.

Daily Home - Voters in Munford and Lincoln approve extension of 5-mill tax for education.

Birmingham News - Magazine cites ADO director as Riley’s “best hire.”

3 Comments »

I wish I could play poker with Senator Singleton… It was grossly apparent watching video of senate sessions that the bingo bills were nothing more than political fair.

Comment by King Jester — May 7, 2008 @ 8:57 am
You don’t want to play poker with Singleton…he will cheat in poker to win like he cheats in his elections to win votes through voter fraud.

Comment by anonymous — May 7, 2008 @ 10:32 am
Looks like Anonymous #2 needs to go read:

http://www.politicalparlor.net/wp/2008/05/05/comments-on-comments/

Comment by Anonymous — May 7, 2008 @ 6:31 pm

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Senate Line

(R) Jeff Sessions (1-19)
Would take a Larry Craig-type revelation to shake up this race.
(D) Vivian Figures (33-1)
Is anything shaking in this race at all?
(D) David Marsh (OFF)
A rumor here, a rumor there, but we haven’t seen that they have legs.
(D) Artur Davis (OFF)
Could have been strong underdog, but he’s out
(D) Jim Folsom (OFF)
No rumblings, whispers, or substantial rumors that he might run.
(D) Pete Johnson (OFF)
Said August 3 that he will not run. (B’ham News, 8/4/07)
(D) Ron Sparks (OFF)
Flirted with idea. Announced June 12 that he will not seek the office.

AL-1 Line

(R) Jo Bonner (1-29)
No obvious chinks in the armor.
(D) Benjamin Lodmell (>100-1)
Charge of soliciting more than votes gives him the longest of odds.

AL-2 Line

(D) Bobby Bright (3-2) NEW
Shoo-in for Democratic nomination, then the task toughens.
(R) Harri Anne Smith (3-1) NEW
Outright win only thing to keep her out of a GOP primary run-off.
(R) Jay Love (4-1) NEW
Easily the most viable of the Montgomery-area GOP candidates.
(R) David Woods (20-1) NEW
Is he crazy like a Fox-20 President?
(R) David Grimes (30-1) NEW
Showing least energy among those with some name ID.
(R) Craig Schmidtke (90-1) NEW
Oral surgeon will be able to numb the pain of loss.
(D) William Boyd (>100-1) NEW
Montgomery Mayoral hopeful will lose to Bright again.
(R) John W. Martin(>100-1) NEW
Army veteran will struggle to be competitive.
(R) Terry Everett (OFF)
The incumbent announced his retirement Sept. 26.

AL-3 Line

(R) Mike Rogers (1-11)
Heavy favorite but other incumbents have more favorably drawn districts.
(D) Josh Segall (19-1) NEW
District & early signs of professionalism up his chances a bit.

AL-4 Line

(R) Robert Aderholt (1-29)
Has built a base and enjoys powerful advantages of incumbency.
(D) Greg Warren (40-1)
It’s a sleeper race, and it’s still snoozing.

AL-5 Line

To be updated. See the AL-05 Big List.
(R) Ray McKee (tba)
The only announced challenger when Cramer announced retirement.
(D) Bud Cramer (OFF)
The incumbent announced his retirement on March 13.

AL-6 Line

(R) Spencer Bachus (1-70)
Most senior Republican in the state, in the most GOP District.

AL-7 Line

(D) Artur Davis (1-49)
Will be extremely difficult to unseat one of state Dems' leading lights.

Governor Line (2010)

(D) Jim Folsom (6-1)
LG has lots going for him, but plenty of obstacles until inaugural.
(R) Bradley Byrne (7-1)
Two year college ban is political gold. How rich is the vein?
(R) Troy King (17-2)
Top-ranking GOP candidate. Fierce detractors and fierce supporters.
(D) Artur Davis (9-1)
Little doubt that the popular Dem is considering a run.
(R) Mike Hubbard (13-1)
Party chair has nice launch pad but not committing to run.
(R) Jack Hawkins (15-1)
Transparent interest, would Riley's blessing be boon or bane?
(R) Kay Ivey (17-1)
Hitched her wagon to the wrong presidential candidate.
(D) Seth Hammett (18-1)
Maybe ties to 2-year college scandal are a little too close
(R) Tim James (19-1)
Announced, but politically inexperienced & has GOP detractors.
(R) Beth Chapman (20-1)
Too crowded. No reason for the SoS not to wait.
(D) Ron Sparks (20-1)
With Folsom & Davis obvious Dem frontrunners, he’ll likely pass.
(D) Mike Dow (22-1)
Too early to dismiss him from what may be his last shot.
(R) Tony Petelos (22-1)
Hoover Mayor focusing on re-election first.
(R) Luther Strange (22-1)
Might be more likely to run if King passes on this race.
(R) Charles Bishop (75-1)
Perennial possibility. Probably picked up pugilists’ support.
(R) Roy Moore (75-1)
Can’t rule him out until there is a stake in him. Is he still in GOP?
(R or I) Stan Pate (75-1)
Rumor says GOP curmudgeon considering. Perhaps as Independent?
(?) David Bronner (OFF)
He gets The Jimmy Rane Treatment^TM (See Rane below)
(L) Loretta Nall (OFF)
Tells the Parlor she won’t run for governor in 2010.
(R) Rob Riley (OFF)
The rumors are stale. Might run for AG.
(R) Harri Anne Smith (OFF)
She’ll be representing CD-2 or tainted by the loss.
(D) Susan Parker (OFF)
Democratic Party team player not needed off the bench.
(R) Jimmy Rane (OFF)
No indication that he is running despite earlier rumors.
(R) Richard Shelby (OFF)
Riley/Shelby office swap intriguing idea but no indication that he’ll run.

Comments on AL Line

The Alabama Line and its contents are the creation of Doc’s Political Parlor, reflect consensus from insiders and well-connected folks on both sides of the aisle, and will be updated as conditions change. These odds are meant to inform, entertain, and provoke, not to serve as actual means for losing money. Permission granted to use this material if PoliticalParlor.net is cited as the source.
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Alabama Politics in
Doc’s Political Parlor
& Home of Lawn Mower Repair

May 7, 2008