Posted by From National Journal House Race Hotline (by subscription):
ALABAMA 05 (D/HUNTSVILLE — Cramer)
Parker vs. Parker
A Capital Survey Research Center poll; conducted 4/1; surveyed 595 LVs; margin of error +/- 4% (release, 4/4). Tested: state Sen. Parker Griffith (D) and ‘94/’96 nominee/Ad exec. Wayne Parker (R).
General Election Matchup
P. Griffith 48%
W. Parker 32
Undec 21
The Capital Survey Research Center is the polling arm of AEA.
For what it is worth, someone close to Wayne Parker told me that while media outlets have called him an “advertising executive,” he is actually a vice-president for Insurance Office of America.
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So Paul Hubbert and his in-house pollster Gerald Johnston released a poll showing their guy in the lead. Big deal, Gerald Johnston may be the least credible pollster in Alabama and his polls are ALWAYS skewed toward what Hubbert (vice chairman of the AlaDems) wants and needs to show.
The AEA polls showed James Fields way ahead in the open D12 race and everyone said they were wrong…Fields won 60-40!
Hubbert only RELEASES his polls when they show what he wants and needs to show. Gerald Johnson’s polls aren’t actually that skewed, it’s just that the general public doesn’t see all of them.
I would have stayed with the advertising executive label, insurance people are lower than used car salemen on the greed and respect meter.
I was about to say that about Fields. The AEA polling was dead on accurate in that case. I also remember them having a much more accurate number on the Dem presidential primary than anyone else. You may consider AEA a partisan organization, but their polling is usually pretty dead on.
[...] Doc’s Political Parlor: Parker vs. Parker in CD-05 [...]
As a journalist who uses a variety of polls for information and for articles, I will tell you that the polls by Capital Survey Research Center are the most accurate and the most legitimate of all. GOP chair Hubbard is barking up the wrong tree on this one, and I can tell you how you can know. When he released his blast of Capital Survey on the GOP Web site, not one newspaper or any legitimate media outlet used it because the members of the news community know how much integrity Capital Survey has. Sorry political junkies but you’re barking up the wrong tree when you attack the most respected survey organization in the state.