Rep. Bud Cramer is not running for re-election in Alabama’s 5th Congressional District, and the Political Parlor will do its best to sort out the contenders and the pretenders for the seat in our AL-05 Big List.
Check it out.
Bump: Posted this last night but am bumping it to the top of the page.
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Alabama Line |
(R) Jeff Sessions (1-19)
Strong incumbent did not get a stiff challenge.
(D) Vivian Figures (19-1)
If Sessions had vulnerability, it was not to Figures.
(R) Jay Love (12-13)
Looks close. GOPers often boosted in prez election years.
(D) Bobby Bright (13-12)
Montgomery Mayor is Dems' best shot at the seat in a generation.
(R) Mike Rogers (1-4)
The power of incumbency and huge warchest should send him back to DC.
(D) Josh Segall (4-1)
Strong campaign. 2nd largest black population in any GOP House district.
(R) Robert Aderholt (1-99)
Wins in a cakewalk.
(D) Nick Sparks (>100-1)
Maybe another Sparks could make this competitive.
(D) Parker Griffith (9-11)
The favorite but will have to outperform the top of the ticket.
(R) Wayne Parker (11-9)
Hopes third time for the seat will be the charm.
(D) Lucy Baxley (17-18)
Former LG has name ID edge in a race that is a virtual tossup.
(R) Twinkle Cavanaugh (18-17)
Has firepower, and the R gets a boost in prez election year.
(R) Greg Shaw (2-3)
Some contributors felt he should be listed as an even stronger favorite.
(D) Deborah Bell Paseur (3-2)
Roundtable divided on her capacity to surprise.
The Alabama Line and its contents are the creation of Doc’s Political Parlor, reflect consensus from insiders and well-connected folks on both sides of the aisle, and will be updated as conditions change. These odds are meant to inform, entertain, and provoke, not to serve as actual means for losing money. Permission granted to use this material if PoliticalParlor.net is cited as the source.
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I’m a Republican but I do like Susan Parker. She would be a good candidate in my view.
Comment by GOPer — March 14, 2008 @ 10:47 am
WAAY 31 news anchor Michael Scott ran for Congress back in ‘98 as a democrat against Nebraska GOP Congressman Lee Terry?
Comment by dan t — March 14, 2008 @ 11:48 am
Parker Griffith is the man to beat. He has the political base and the money to win.
Comment by Paul Douglas — May 4, 2008 @ 7:10 pm