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The Fix at washingtonpost.com today looks at the top ten U.S. House seats most likely to switch parties in the 2008 elections.
Considering the 15 (so-far) House members stepping down in 2008 (13 Republicans, 2 Democrats), the Fix offers this aside about the second Alabama Congressional district where Republican Terry Everett is retiring:
Democrats are also making noise about two other newly open GOP seats — New Mexico’s 2nd District and Alabama’s 2nd, though both are much longer shots given their clear Republican tilt.
Indications are that the Democrats acknowledge the GOP advantage but are not conceding the seat.
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Good to see the Democrats won’t concede the seats but will they put the effort into the races to win?
They are better served to put money where it will produce results. AL District 2 has been in Republican hands since the Goldwater days…it ain’t gonna change in ‘08 either. But their decision to put money in the race will all depend on the candidate. If its is Spicer for example they will not waste their cash but if it is Bright they may spend some money on a candidate they actually consider viable. But with a Presidential election with Hillary likely on the ticket, that will only serve to drive out Republican votes all the way down the ticket, especially in District 2 voting.
Bobby Bright could win that seat. He doesn’t have a voting record, is well liked by business, and has deep roots in the District. If the Democrats can convince Mayor Bright to win, watch out. Otherwise, it will be very tough for Democrats to win the seat.
Wiregrass is probably correct. Even if Bright did run he would
face an uphill battle given the political leanings of this state
and who the dems will have at the top of their ticket next year.
I see the points raised but remember competition improves the breed, whether its Fords, horses or grocery stores.
to walt’s comment – i would like to see a good race too but the real race , I think, will be in the republican primary. unfortunately, as of now, i don’t see a lot of great candidates to replace Everett. A few interesting ones but no one that seems to blow me away so to speak. we will see who actually runs though.