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Today’s Birmingham News reports a poll that shows candidates Larry Langford and Patrick Cooper easily ahead of the rest of the field in the Birmingham mayor’s race. Langford polls at 33%, Cooper at 25%, and the rest of the crowded field polls at a combined 25%. (Incumbent Bernard Kincaid leads that group at 9%.) The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.
Which is not so different from what you could read between the lines (and we did) in an unusual Birmingham Times poll mentioned here last week.
Eighteen percent of the voters are undecided. (The graphic shows “Undecided/other” at 18%, but the text of the article says that 18% are undecided and “other” accounts for less than 1%.)
What would it take to shake up the field significantly between now and the October 9 election?
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It’s worth remembering this before we put too much faith into this poll:
http://www.politicalparlor.net/wp/2006/11/16/top-ten-who-lost-10/
I thought about that.
Smitherman or Kincaid need to launch an attack on Langford or he is going to win.
Does this mean that Patrick Cooper actually has 36% and Langford stands at 22%, or does Kincaid have 20%? Langford had been touting a poll since earlier this year saying that he had 45% of voters locked up. I would like to remind readers of Langford’s statements during the 1979 Birmingham Mayoral race as reported in the Birmingham Weekly >. I will make the predicition now. If Cooper makes the run-off, he will be Birmingham’s next Mayor.
[...] If the Birmingham News poll is to be believed along with what I have heard from campaigns, this is not true. I interpret this as an attempt to suppress the turnout for Patrick Cooper tomorrow as in, “If I support Cooper, and he is not going to make a run-off, maybe I won’t go vote.” [...]