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State Rep. Jay Love (R – Montgomery) has confirmed to the Political Parlor that he is “definitely running” for the AL-2 Congressional seat and “has been on the phone all day with supporters.”
Would the Republican nomination come down to a Montgomery candidate vs. a Wiregrass candidate? I asked him. He could “very much envision a scenario” that involved a run-off between a Montgomery candidate and a Wiregrass candidate.
He said that Elmore, Autauga and Montgomery counties (near Montgomery) make up about 42% of the vote, Houston County (Dothan) makes up about 20 percent of the vote, and the Wiregrass makes up the rest, so “it’s about a 40-40-20 split.”
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Rep. Greg Wren annouced he was forming an exploratory committee. For information on joining a focus group to discuss Wren’s chance of running call 334-279-0959.
You are extremely right about the 40-40-20 split, that is how it came down when Everett ran first, Montgomery vs. Wiregrass and I see the same thing this time. The name appeal in Central Alabama does not carry in the Wiregrass and Wiregrass names don’t carry in Montgomery. Basically the only names coming out right now are Montgomery names because the Wiregrass is not on the map so much politically.
This seat is a wiregrass seat. No one in recent memory has been elected from Montgomery. No one knowswho Greg Wren is, much less Jay Love.
Looks like Love and his pal Swatek were too busy being “on the phone with supporters” to get Love’s name in the AP wire story about the race. Pretty amateurish stuff right out of the gate.
Cliff said, “No one in recent memory has been elected from Montgomery.”
Before Everett won the seat for eight terms, Bill Dickinson from Montgomery held the seat since 1964. How quickly folks like Cliff forget. . .
Let me also point out that, given the power of incumbency, Everett has had little or no primary opposition for this Republican seat since he originally won. To say this is a Wiregrass seat given that of the last two people elected, one was from the Wiregrass and one from Montgomery, is simply wrong, in my opinion.
Bill Dickinson grew up in Dothan, but practiced law in Montgomery. He considered himself from Dothan.
Love has the best shot out of the River Region. I am not sure who the wiregrass candidate might be. Being a Republican district this race is all about who can get the Repub nomination. Bright as a “Republican” makes most Republican’s want to throw-up. Wren I heard lives in the 3rd congressional district. Money can buy name recognition and from what I have heard Love has plenty of it.
Can we start calling him “Jay-Lo”?
Love has no chance. He is too tied in to the state employees and other democrat groups to get conservatives in the 2nd district comfortable with him.
Jay Love has the best shot ? No one knows him even up here in Elmore County and Autauga County….better do your homwwork boys ….Elmore and Autauga make up more votes in the Repub. Primary than Montgomery does now …..and they vote in a 13-16% higher turnout ….If I were Harianne Smith I owould be up in Elmore County right now cutting a deal with Barry Mask who despite what WW wallace says , is the most popoular results-driven ploitician that county has seeen in a long time…..AS this field gets more crowded , these two counties become more important .
dave
I think that if Tim James enters this race, he will jump to front-runner status. He has run statewide, has a record of opposing amendment 1 (which will help greatly in a GOP primary in the Wiregrass) and will be able to raise a lot of money (and he has a lot of his OWN money to invest also).
Rep. Jay Love will make a wonderful Congressman. He has been extremely successful in business and has strong moral and ethical values. Look for him to be on top in the primary
I am not familiar with the demographics or name ID for individual candidates in the 2nd district but I do have to take exception with comments that Rep. Love is not conservative enough. Jay is one of the most conservative members of the Alabama House and his voting record backs that up. If someone thinks they are going to “out Republican” Jay Love then they are way off base. He is a good Republican legislator and is outspoken on views that are key part of the Republican Party’s base.
You all can just hang it up.Mayor Bobby Bright Has got what it takes to win.!!! AND that’s it .NO matter what party he runs for.He has both LOve and MOney. He doesn’t have to take a back seat to anyone.NOw that’s being REEEEDDD NEEECK!!!AND polite.
Bobby Bright is a good round cookie to wrap it up ,if that is his choise.Very good alround man.Hopes he wear’s his hat proudly .He is very versed on everything and would make a good replacement for Congress
I have only seen one candidate, a Dothan guy named John Martin that supports Fairtax. The candidates need to take a strong position on whether they support the current 67,000 pages of loopholes and favors or 133 pages of clear, fair concepts that return the “power of the purse” to the people.