I think she will indeed run, though her chances are slim and none.
I get the feeling Luther will probably run for AG, regardless of what Troy King decides. As time goes on, Byrne appears to be the logical Republican choice. In the eyes of Republicans, he has taken on the AEA and fought what is seen as one of the most corrupt institutions in the state. Luther runs for AG and waits for a US Senate seat to open. I know for a fact Shelby, if he could, would choose Luther to be his successor.
As for her being a candidate for Governor in 2006, I imagine if you polled 100 Republicans in the state, less than 5 could tell you Harri Anne Smith was a candidate. Unless that was sarcasm, in which case, my apologies.
Harri Anne is more well known than you might think. She is also credited with having the most conservative voting record in the Senate. Refused to take her pay raise. With all due respect to Mr. Byrne, double-dipping is a great issue, but it is one issue, also his voting record is less than stellar. Luther couldn’t even beat “Little Jim”, get real
None of those currently on the Republican docket could beat “Little Jim,” either. Right now, it seems like Byrne has surpassed Hubbard as Riley’s chosen successor. Riley may be able to anoint the nominee, but I don’t think this is a strong enough issue to guarantee a Republican victory against a strong candidate like Jim Folsom Jr. either. Folsom’s name recognition is through the roof, he is a skillful fundraiser, and a solid campaigner. If he avoids any serious examples of foot in mouth syndrome the next 3 years, he should be able to win back the governorship.
I agree with you to a point, if Folsom fails to get a handle on the Senate, and heal the rift there, and yes I concede both sides are at fault, I believe he will have a hard time convincing voters that are becoming more disillusioned by the minute, that he can lead our state.
Some of you remind me of the Don Siegelman crowd. Folsom isnt the giant you make him out to be.
He’s already blown two statewide races that he should have won.
I predict that if Folsom becomes Governor that the reform
taken place in the two year college system will
stall.
The Governor has a vote on the School Board and
Paul Hubbert will prevail with the tilt going Five
Democrats to Four Republicans.
Let’s see , Folsom lost in 1980 when Reagan led a complete Republican takeover with his landslide over Carter and almost every Southern Democrat got beat. Then he lost in 1994 when the “Contract on America” beat every Southern Democratic Governor except Zell Miller, and almost beat him. Looks like he has absolutely no chance to win in 2010.
I agree Jim Folsom will be a very strong candidate.
1. Tremendous success with business interests. Probably
more so than any democrat in years.
2. Looks! Looks like
a distiguished George Clooney type.
3. He will appeal to the grey poupon and the Joe six-pack
voters.
4. Sounds good on Television. Photogenic.
5. There may not be another Nationwide Republican wave. He
narrowly lost in 1980 to Denton during the Reagan wave and
narrowly lost to Fob James during the Contract with America.
6. Mercedes. Enough said on that subject
7. Beautiful wife, who is a great campaigner in her own
right.
I am not supporting him. I want to be fair and recognise
his strengths in the campaign. I have not listed his
weaknesses. Just say he is tied with American Tourister.
1. Being more successful with business interests than any Democrat in the state is quite a dubious distinction. I doubt quite seriously we’ll be seeing a split within the BCA, regardless of who runs against Folsom.
2. Are we talking about the same George Clooney and Jim Folsom?
3. Folsom’s tactics are class warfare 101. The so-called “grey poupon voter,” whatever that is, is the butt of such campaigns.
4. Good accent, no doubt. That said, anyone who has spoken in person with Jim Folsom knows that intelligence is not his forte.
5. True, but, if 2006 showed us anything, Democrats need more than a strong national Democratic turnout to be successful.
6. If Folsom expects to harp on Mercedes ad nauseam, I dare say he will find himself looking in on inauguration day. It takes more than a decade old victory to bring about an electoral one.
7. This may be true as a strength, though for the sole reason that she wants this campaign far more than Jim does.
I will only say that, with Artur Davis looking more and more like a candidate in 2010, Jim Folsom looks less and less like a sure thing. He will now have to a face a primary opponent who appeals to the most vital element within the Democratic Party. Further, Davis would wipe the floor with Folsom should they ever debate. Regardless of who wins, expect a divided Democratic Party following such a contest.
Great analysis! I might comment that Artur Davis is a rising star. I watch him on
the Larry Kudlow show nationwide. He amazes me and the panel with is great answers.
I know that he is being well received by the business community. He spoke to the
BCA and the Downtown Rotary recently.
Agreed, Tom. There is no doubt that, if the campaign came down to who was sharper, Davis would win in a walk. Alas, many in the Democratic Party will vote for Folsom either for his name or because they buy into his “folksy” gimmick. This state will not move forward until thoughtful candidates such as Artur Davis are seen as deserving positions of leadership over the nincompoops who placed our state in dire straits.
I wish my friend Hinton Mitchem godspeed and good luck after his retirement from public service. Hinton, on Monday, announced what many had suspected — he will not seek re-election. I remember meeting Hinton for the first time while I was a student at Auburn University. He served the people of his [...]
Here is a quick preview of the upcoming week in Montgomery. This week will be a standard legislative schedule for the House. We will be in session on Tuesday and Thursday with committee meetings scheduled for Wednesday.
The House will take up a ten minute calendar this week. A ten minute calendar is [...]
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Will this be similar to her 2006 “run”?
No way. She’s running for treasurer.
The way I see it,as a canidate in 2006 with a Million Dollars in the Bank, sets her up to be the front runner in the current GOP race……
Luther will have the most money and the best chance
I think she will indeed run, though her chances are slim and none.
I get the feeling Luther will probably run for AG, regardless of what Troy King decides. As time goes on, Byrne appears to be the logical Republican choice. In the eyes of Republicans, he has taken on the AEA and fought what is seen as one of the most corrupt institutions in the state. Luther runs for AG and waits for a US Senate seat to open. I know for a fact Shelby, if he could, would choose Luther to be his successor.
As for her being a candidate for Governor in 2006, I imagine if you polled 100 Republicans in the state, less than 5 could tell you Harri Anne Smith was a candidate. Unless that was sarcasm, in which case, my apologies.
Key Republican’s…*Bradley Byrne* *Stephanie Bell* *Betty Peters* *Randy McKinney*
Who is Harri Anne Smith?
[...] Harri Anne Smith to Run for Governor – Doc’s Political Parlor Posted Alabama Politics on Wednesday, August 29th, 2007. [...]
Harri Anne is more well known than you might think. She is also credited with having the most conservative voting record in the Senate. Refused to take her pay raise. With all due respect to Mr. Byrne, double-dipping is a great issue, but it is one issue, also his voting record is less than stellar. Luther couldn’t even beat “Little Jim”, get real
None of those currently on the Republican docket could beat “Little Jim,” either. Right now, it seems like Byrne has surpassed Hubbard as Riley’s chosen successor. Riley may be able to anoint the nominee, but I don’t think this is a strong enough issue to guarantee a Republican victory against a strong candidate like Jim Folsom Jr. either. Folsom’s name recognition is through the roof, he is a skillful fundraiser, and a solid campaigner. If he avoids any serious examples of foot in mouth syndrome the next 3 years, he should be able to win back the governorship.
I agree with you to a point, if Folsom fails to get a handle on the Senate, and heal the rift there, and yes I concede both sides are at fault, I believe he will have a hard time convincing voters that are becoming more disillusioned by the minute, that he can lead our state.
Some of you remind me of the Don Siegelman crowd. Folsom isnt the giant you make him out to be.
He’s already blown two statewide races that he should have won.
Yeah, back in 80 and 94. He won in 2006 when come said he could not beat Luther after he
beat Wallace.
I predict that if Folsom becomes Governor that the reform
taken place in the two year college system will
stall.
The Governor has a vote on the School Board and
Paul Hubbert will prevail with the tilt going Five
Democrats to Four Republicans.
Let’s see , Folsom lost in 1980 when Reagan led a complete Republican takeover with his landslide over Carter and almost every Southern Democrat got beat. Then he lost in 1994 when the “Contract on America” beat every Southern Democratic Governor except Zell Miller, and almost beat him. Looks like he has absolutely no chance to win in 2010.
I agree Jim Folsom will be a very strong candidate.
1. Tremendous success with business interests. Probably
more so than any democrat in years.
2. Looks! Looks like
a distiguished George Clooney type.
3. He will appeal to the grey poupon and the Joe six-pack
voters.
4. Sounds good on Television. Photogenic.
5. There may not be another Nationwide Republican wave. He
narrowly lost in 1980 to Denton during the Reagan wave and
narrowly lost to Fob James during the Contract with America.
6. Mercedes. Enough said on that subject
7. Beautiful wife, who is a great campaigner in her own
right.
I am not supporting him. I want to be fair and recognise
his strengths in the campaign. I have not listed his
weaknesses. Just say he is tied with American Tourister.
1. Being more successful with business interests than any Democrat in the state is quite a dubious distinction. I doubt quite seriously we’ll be seeing a split within the BCA, regardless of who runs against Folsom.
2. Are we talking about the same George Clooney and Jim Folsom?
3. Folsom’s tactics are class warfare 101. The so-called “grey poupon voter,” whatever that is, is the butt of such campaigns.
4. Good accent, no doubt. That said, anyone who has spoken in person with Jim Folsom knows that intelligence is not his forte.
5. True, but, if 2006 showed us anything, Democrats need more than a strong national Democratic turnout to be successful.
6. If Folsom expects to harp on Mercedes ad nauseam, I dare say he will find himself looking in on inauguration day. It takes more than a decade old victory to bring about an electoral one.
7. This may be true as a strength, though for the sole reason that she wants this campaign far more than Jim does.
I will only say that, with Artur Davis looking more and more like a candidate in 2010, Jim Folsom looks less and less like a sure thing. He will now have to a face a primary opponent who appeals to the most vital element within the Democratic Party. Further, Davis would wipe the floor with Folsom should they ever debate. Regardless of who wins, expect a divided Democratic Party following such a contest.
Will:
Great analysis! I might comment that Artur Davis is a rising star. I watch him on
the Larry Kudlow show nationwide. He amazes me and the panel with is great answers.
I know that he is being well received by the business community. He spoke to the
BCA and the Downtown Rotary recently.
Agreed, Tom. There is no doubt that, if the campaign came down to who was sharper, Davis would win in a walk. Alas, many in the Democratic Party will vote for Folsom either for his name or because they buy into his “folksy” gimmick. This state will not move forward until thoughtful candidates such as Artur Davis are seen as deserving positions of leadership over the nincompoops who placed our state in dire straits.