Posted by I remember an early comment from a contributor to the Alabama Line, “I think the one thing that is absolutely certain is that with the Governor’s seat being open for the first time in 8 years, everyone who has ever thought about running will at least be making noises about it, at least in the early stages.”
The long list of potential candidates gets longer. This article in the Press-Register raises the possibility that Tuscaloosa businessman Stan Pate and Retirement Systems of Alabama Director David Bronner might run.
The Alabama Line duly takes note. You will find their names listed among the potential gubernatorial candidates in the sidebar.
To save you some squinty-eyed searching, the relevant entries are listed below. (As always, the Alabama Line reflects the opinions of well-connected folks on both sides of the aisle.)
(?) David Bronner (22-1) NEW
Able RSA manager & oft-rumored candidate could be strong.
(R or I) Stan Pate (75-1) NEW
Rumor says GOP curmudgeon considering. Perhaps as Independent?
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Purple Dot Connection
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2010 Senate Elections
2010 House Elections
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If I may offer a suggestion: Your formula may have a flaw in that it does not take
into account past visits to “Anger Management” classes per a court order OR a
business relationship with Milton McGregor OR the hiring of a felon as his personal
aide. All things that are verifiably tied to Stan Pate.
Do those things increase or decrease his odds of being elected Governor in this state?
[...] Additions to Alabama Line » Doc’s Political Parlor Posted Alabama Politics on Tuesday, August 7th, 2007. [...]
Anon — you forget looking almost exactly like a lizard.
MAJOR picture foul re comment 4!
If you’ve got Stan Pate at 75-1, you might as well put my dead grandmother at 76-1 because pate’s got about as much chance as she does of being elected governor.
In order to be taken seriously, the Alabama Line needs to be more realistic about candidates running for office. There is now way Jack Hawkins, David Bronner or Stan Pate have a chance to become Governor. Just like there are 10 dems and 10 repubs. running for president, only 3-4 are taken seriously. Let’s weed out the Alabama Line.
Pate shouldn’t be eliminated altogether but his odds should be in the same realm as Loretta Nall’s/ Same for Charles Bishop. Otherwise, I would say the line seems pretty accurate.
How about Russ or Dee Fine?
David, these odds are meant to inform, entertain, and provoke, and they reflect a consensus of people from both sides of the aisle who are smarter than I am about these things. For example, folks on both side of the aisle said that David Bronner would definitely rate even higher and potentially be a strong candidate if he actually were showing signs of running. As for Stan Pate, well… 75 to 1 represents quite long odds. That means if the race were held one thousand times, he would win about thirteen times. A tiny chance.
And of course at the end of the day, it’s subjective, so people will disagree. And perhaps they/we will be informed, entertained, and/or provoked. (And granted, you may be right that those names have zero chance. But I would be reluctant to say that they have ZERO chance at this point.)
Thanks, SamfordDem.
Leroy, unlike those two, I think I am speechless on that one.
Anonymous in comment #6, we would need her name. And party affiliation.