See also the AL - 05 Big List.
Welcome to the AL - 02 Big List.
This list has been an attempt to keep up with everyone in either political party who has been credibly mentioned (in public or private) as a potential candidate for Alabama’s 2nd Congressional District since Rep. Terry Everett (R - Rehobeth) announced that he will not run for re-election.
Both parties’ qualifying period ended April 4, 2008. Three Democrats and six Republicans qualified for the primary race, and they are listed below. The primary is June 3.
The Political Parlor will update the Alabama Line (found in the sidebar) for the race, though perhaps not as fast as you like since input from a wide array of people is sought.
| Democrats |
Republicans |
IN
Bobby Bright, Montgomery Mayor
Cendie Crawley, Dentist, Troy native
Cheryl Sabel, Alabama NOW President
OUT
William Boyd, Montgomery Mayoral Candidate
Seth Hammett, Speaker of the House
Jimmy Holley, State Senator
Jimmy Lunsford, Troy Mayor
Gary McAliley, Pike/Coffee Co. DA
Wendell Mitchell, State Senator
Scott Ninesling
James Perdue, Crenshaw Co Probate Judge
Cooper Rutland, Union Springs Atty
Ron Sparks, Agricultural Commissioner
Terry Spicer, State Representative
Glen Zorn, former Florala Mayor
|
IN
David Grimes, State Representative
Jay Love, State Representative
John W. Martin, Retired Army (Dothan)
Craig Schmidtke, Dothan oral surgeon
Harri Anne Smith, State Senator
David Woods, President, WCOV-TV (Montgomery)
OUT
Greg Albritton, former state Representative
Wes Allen, former candidate for Auditor
Kenneth Boswell, Enterprise Mayor
Bobby Bright, Montgomery Mayor
Terry Butts, former Supreme Court Justice
Jim Byard, Prattville Mayor
Steve Clouse, State Representative
Mark Culver, Houston County Commissioner
Larry Dixon, State Senator
John Giles, former Christian Coalition of AL President
Jack Hawkins, Troy Univ. Chancellor
Jimmy Holley, State Senator
Tim James, Greenville businessman
Troy King, Attorney General
Ben Lewis, State Representative
Barry Mask, State Representative
Charles Nailen, Dothan businessman
Steve Pelham, former Everett staffer
Jim Sullivan, PSC President
George Wallace, Jr., former PSC Commissioner
Dot Waller, Autauga County Bd. of Ed.
Greg Wren, State Representative
|
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I stand corrected. When Ms. Smith initially went into office, Henry County was in her district. It slipped my mind about the re-apportionment after 2001.
Thanks for keeping me straight!
Comment by LD — June 30, 2008 @ 1:13 pm
LD, the previous note is correct, Senator Penn has all of Henry County. Dale (part of it) belongs to Senator Smith.
Comment by Anonymous — June 30, 2008 @ 12:09 pm
No, I’m afraid you are incorrect. Henry County is in her senate district, not Dale.
Comment by LD — June 30, 2008 @ 11:35 am
Dale county may swing for Smith (it is Dale not Henry that is in her Senate District) but I agree she will likley lose Henry and the others not in her District. She is not making up any ground since June 3 when she did so poorly.
Comment by Anonymous — June 30, 2008 @ 11:05 am
Post #1355, your guess that she will win three counties is a possibility, but here is my best guess for HAS; Loses Henry County 55% to 45%; She squeaks out Houston County 54% to 46% and wins Geneva County 57% to 43%. The other 13 will go to Love, most by embarrasingly huge margins.
Comment by LD — June 30, 2008 @ 11:00 am
I think Smith will actually win the three counties in her Senate District, but it is very likely Love will carry the other 13 counties and win with about 60%.
Comment by Anonymous — June 30, 2008 @ 10:30 am
MH, Here is a probable breakdown of how things will shake out on July 15th. Love 14 counties; Smith 2 counties. Love 68%; Smith 32% …. and goodnight from NBC news!
Comment by LD — June 30, 2008 @ 9:55 am
“…let’s cease this incessant bickering and backbiting…” I agree MH. It would be nice if the two candidadtes would abide by this. Smith started it - and Love slung back. It only serves Bright. If Bright wins, we all lose.
Comment by Anonymous — June 30, 2008 @ 8:58 am
I guess ‘Reality’ didn’t read the “specifically Montgomery” part of my post. Then again, most people on here seem to pick and choose what they read into a post.
I’m with 02 Voter…let’s cease this incessant bickering and backbiting…we only have two weeks to find out the truth.
I for one, am tired of it, especially the ‘hit and run pot shots’ that so many of the anonymous posters use as a stock in trade…and I know the readers must be as well. We keep rehashing the same bovne feces over and over. The only things we have established over the last couple of months is (1) we don’t agree, and (2) none of us have a crystal ball. No one is winning this argument. Especially not the candidates.
I’m tired, and I’m sick, and I’m sick and tired. I know Alabama politics has a history of getting pretty dirty; but even so, I’m really disappointed in the way that so many of my fellow southerners have behaved on this board. I encountered much more savvy and adept debaters when I was on my high school debate team. And aside from one or two people whom I have crossed swords with on here, most of the people who post on here would be eaten alive in a labor union negotiation….by the pages and interns!
Good night, Chet….Good night, David.
Comment by MH — June 30, 2008 @ 7:10 am
Reality, MH is just as entitled to her views as you or I. No one knows for sure what the outcome will be until all the votes are tallied July 15. Alot of bickering and name calling is going on but remember the old adage “it ain’t over till its over”, so lets just wait and see what the outcome is before we get to confident about what the voters of 02 will decide about either candidate, whether we support them or not! I’ve seen strange things happen in politics and I am sure you have to.
Comment by 02 voter — June 30, 2008 @ 6:39 am
Right on Post 1349!!!
Comment by Anonymous — June 29, 2008 @ 8:40 pm
MH - in the past you wrote commentary on this blog that made sense. But now - you have lost it. Lies? What lies has Love told about Smith? And Smith’s ad “exposed” Jay Love? As has been pointed out by Danny, The Montgomery Advertiser and The Dothan Eagle, the vote Smith discusses in her negative ad against Love, she also voted in favor of. They voted the same way. Shall I repeat? They voted the same way. So who does that expose? And in terms of North vs. South part of the district, Smith lost all of the surrounding Wiregrass counties that border her Senate district including Coffee, Covington, Henry and Pike. That does not even take into account her pathetic showing in the Northern part of the district. She was 5th out of 6 candidates in Montgomery County alone. So if you want to frame it as “north vs. south” you might want to change that to how many votes Smith gets in her senate district vs the other 13 counties. As you may recall, Love won 10 of 16 counties on June 3, Smith won 3 and Schmidtke won 3. The only true thing you have said is it is all about turn out come July 15. I think Love will sail to the nomination and Smith will sink. And if you think Smith is the stronger candidate against Bright, I just wonder if you have even been paying attention during this campaign. And to act as if Montgomery, Autauga and Elmore counties will vote for Bright because he is the Mayor of Montgomery it proves you know little of the politics in the River Region and you also need to remember he will be running with a big D by his name. Wake up MH - or go back to bed and save us from your off base postings.
Comment by Reality Bites — June 29, 2008 @ 1:32 pm
The ‘poll’ whose numbers are being quoted was written up in the paper…and I recieved one of the calls, so I know exactly how the poll was worded. Love later did some backtracking to try to say the poll was an attempt to determine the type of advertising he should run. However, if that were the case, he would have taken a poll before he started with the accusatory lies about Smith, so he could have compared the numbers to see how effective the lies were. Again, his methodology was flawed, so his data is inaccurate.
As for July 15th, I’m not holding my breath. Smith’s TV ad last week not only exposed his lies about his own record, it provided documentation. Once the people realize the truth about Love, they won’t want him representing them.
In the end, I think it will come down to the southern portion of the district v. the northern portion (specifically Montgomery). Whoever can turn out the most votes will win. I don’t think Love can beat Bright, since that will split the Montgomery vote in the General election. Hopefuly, the Montgomery Republicans will see that and jump off Love’s leaky ship.
Comment by MH — June 29, 2008 @ 11:58 am
MH, thanks for the info, I didn’t realize you were in charge of all the polling for Love and thus know all the factual details about how it was done. Best I recall, it was Smith publicizing a poll a week before the primary election saying she was 9 points ahead…we all know how that turned out. Love’s poll is likely to prove spot on….just wait until July 15.
Comment by Anonymous — June 29, 2008 @ 7:36 am
Love’s ‘polls’ are designed to evoke a biased response. They are no more reliable than a clinical trial in which the participants are told “This pill will cure you” or “This pill will make you sick”. They are designed to elicit a pro Love choice and are, therefor, so statistically biased that they would be laughed out of a genuine scientific study.
I could run the same poll using a gorilla as the prefered choice vs. Jay Love and get a similar response for the gorilla. The methodology is flawed, ergo the data is inaccurate.
Comment by MH — June 29, 2008 @ 2:42 am
Re comment 1344, you might try switching to decaf.
You’re saying that Terry isn’t really saying what he thinks? He’s lying about what he thinks?
Am I misunderstanding something?
Comment by Danny — June 29, 2008 @ 12:30 am
Jay Love’s polls shows him up 60-32. Try again liar.
Comment by YOU ARE LYING — June 28, 2008 @ 10:12 pm
Just got back from a very refreshing vacation.
My thoughts:
Fed up’s post about a week ago was really crazy. I’ll be praying for you. By the way, I supported David Grimes in the primary.
I think Harri Anne Smith’s campaign is going to surprise a lot of people- I’m not ready to say I’m confident she will win, but I think that it is very possible that on election day her supporters will show up.
Comment by Terry — June 28, 2008 @ 7:43 pm
That isn’t a rumor - it is fact.
Comment by Anonymous — June 28, 2008 @ 7:09 am
Heard any good rumors lately? You know the rumor I hear is that Jay Love’s polls reflect he leads HAS by double digits and appears to be running away wit it for the July 15th runoff.
Comment by 02 voter — June 27, 2008 @ 10:20 pm